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- TIA [September 24, Confidential 10]
- RNR [December 3, Confidential 10]
- GTEG [December 11, Confidential 10]
Based on earth dwellers’ inability to change direction, economy and lifestyle, together with assessment of the elite Zeitgeist, the available data and trends, as well as
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- History of civilization (past experience)
- Current socioeconomic developments (present trends)
- The exponential rate at which the dynamics of collapse are compounded (future events)
CASF Model has produced the following forecast concerning the probability of incidence of seven Giga Trends:
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End Game Scenarios
- The Champagne Club Scenario. Water, food, shelter, sanitation, education, health and energy continue to be available at increasingly higher prices to anyone who can afford it.
- The Gaza Strip Scenario. Majority of humanity is caged like animals, and kept under permanent military curfew.
- Involuntary Mass ‘Euthanasia’ Scenario. More than 90 percent of world population is annihilated by the world elite via conventional methods such as genocide by starvation, ethnic cleansing, disease and poverty, or using biological and chemical agents including exotic depopulation weapons.
- A Sustainable Future Scenario. Humanity rapidly climbs the evolutionary ladder, reverses the exponential growth economy and opts for non-suicidal, sustainable lifestyles.
- Extraterrestrial Doom Scenario. Life on Earth becomes extinct when a large extraterrestrial object (asteroid or bolide) strikes the planet.
- Lifestyle Global War Scenario. A war fought to secure additional resources required for maintaining unsustainable lifestyles.
- Large-Scale Global Catastrophes. Mass extinction caused by multiple events (large-scale volcanic eruptions, mega earthquakes, deadly pandemics . . .) or by ‘accidental’ factors (military scientists destroying the atmosphere, tests of superweapons backfiring, laboratory-made superbugs escaping . . . ).
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End Game Scenarios [Revised] The probability of lifestyle global war breaking out (before a major ecosystems collapse occurs) is nearly twice higher than the combined probabilities of all other possible scenarios that may unfold in the near future, according to our models.
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[Prepared by EDRO, FIRE-EARTH Science Teams and affiliated scientists.]
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FIRE-EARTH Top Ten Alerts
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